Advance Auto Parts Stock Performance
| AAP Stock | USD 55.30 2.37 4.48% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Advance Auto holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Advance Auto are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Advance Auto is likely to outperform the market. Please check Advance Auto's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Advance Auto's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Advance Auto Parts are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Advance Auto may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
Five Day Return 8.43 | Year To Date Return 42.2 | Ten Year Return (60.92) | All Time Return 297.84 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0181 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:2 | Forward Dividend Rate 1 | Dividend Date 2026-01-23 |
1 | Why Advance Auto Parts Stock Is Up Today | 12/10/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Seboldt Thomas W of tradable shares of Advance Auto at 54.56 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2025 |
3 | Insider Trading | 01/12/2026 |
| Advance Auto dividend paid on 23rd of January 2026 | 01/23/2026 |
5 | Disposition of 501 shares by Kristen Soler of Advance Auto at 50.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/27/2026 |
6 | What Makes Advance Auto Parts an Ugly Duckling | 02/02/2026 |
7 | Heres Why Advance Auto Parts Accelerated Higher Today | 02/03/2026 |
8 | Advance Auto Parts Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Rebound | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 503.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 1.4 B |
Advance Auto Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 5,072 in Advance Auto Parts on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 458.00 from holding Advance Auto Parts or generate 9.03% return on investment over 90 days. Advance Auto Parts is generating 0.1974% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.307% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Advance, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Advance Auto Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Advance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 55.30 | 90 days | 55.30 | roughly 2.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advance Auto to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.79 (This Advance Auto Parts probability density function shows the probability of Advance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Advance Auto Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Advance Auto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advance Auto Parts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Advance Auto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advance Auto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advance Auto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advance Auto Parts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advance Auto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Advance Auto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advance Auto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advance Auto Parts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advance Auto Parts had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.09 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (586.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.65 B. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 23rd of January 2026 Advance Auto paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Advance Auto Parts Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Rebound |
Advance Auto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advance Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advance Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Advance Auto Fundamentals Growth
Advance Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Advance Auto, and Advance Auto fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Advance Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.24 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 1.0E-4 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.41 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.02 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 19.36 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.51 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | ||||
| Revenue | 9.09 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.65 B | ||||
| EBITDA | (395.08 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (586.96 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.87 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.25 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.69 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.50 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 36.58 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 84.63 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (10.22) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.32 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 10.8 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 4.16 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.48 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.19 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 722.58 M | ||||
About Advance Auto Performance
Assessing Advance Auto's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Advance Auto's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Advance Auto is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 327.18 | 208.74 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.13 |
Things to note about Advance Auto Parts performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advance Auto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Advance Auto Parts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advance Auto Parts had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.09 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (586.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.65 B. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 23rd of January 2026 Advance Auto paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Advance Auto Parts Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Rebound |
- Analyzing Advance Auto's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Advance Auto's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Advance Auto's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Advance Auto's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Advance Auto's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Advance Auto's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Advance Auto's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Advance Stock Analysis
When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.